- Joined
- Nov 3, 2007
- Messages
- 5,133
Sparktrician said:Heck, we have crude right here on Capitol Hill!!! Oh, never mind; I thought you were talking about behavior.
[big grin]
WarnerConstCo. said:It will stay down as long as the Saudi's keep flooding the market to control it.
They are prepared to drive crude down to 20 bucks a barrell.
It will kill off any other producer without the bank roll to sustain a fairly large loss per barrell.
greg mann said:WarnerConstCo. said:It will stay down as long as the Saudi's keep flooding the market to control it.
They are prepared to drive crude down to 20 bucks a barrell.
It will kill off any other producer without the bank roll to sustain a fairly large loss per barrell.
And then........
Throwback7r said:And to think I drive a diesel wagon. I paid 2.99$ today I was excited, none the less.
wow said:greg mann said:WarnerConstCo. said:It will stay down as long as the Saudi's keep flooding the market to control it.
They are prepared to drive crude down to 20 bucks a barrell.
It will kill off any other producer without the bank roll to sustain a fairly large loss per barrell.
And then........
When it falls far enough, our government will impose an import tax, rendering the Middle East's advantage moot...
WarnerConstCo. said:It will stay down as long as the Saudi's keep flooding the market to control it.
WarnerConstCo. said:They are prepared to drive crude down to 20 bucks a barrell.
WarnerConstCo. said:It will kill off any other producer without the bank roll to sustain a fairly large loss per barrell.
JBird said:WarnerConstCo. said:It will stay down as long as the Saudi's keep flooding the market to control it.
My understanding is that OPEC production has been stable. It is the USA (collectively) that has been flooding the market.
WarnerConstCo. said:They are prepared to drive crude down to 20 bucks a barrell.
If they wanted to drive the price down then they could raise production. They would remain profitable at $20 a barrel. But they surely do not want to see this happen as their governments would have to run even more massive deficits. They may have some geopolitical goals in their decision not to CUT production(to hurt Russia and/or Iran). But it doesn't need to go that low to achieve those goals.
WarnerConstCo. said:It will kill off any other producer without the bank roll to sustain a fairly large loss per barrell.
I don't think oil is the type of thing that is sold at a loss. Not on a cash flow basis. If it costs more to recover than they can sell it for then they will leave it in the ground until the situation changes (the oil is not going anywhere). They may very well go bankrupt in the interim. But then their assets will be sold to someone else who can wait it out. So on a long term basis OPEC would be on a fools errand to try and drive US producers out of the market. The fracking genie has been let out of the bottle. US energy independence is visible on the horizon.